The
Madden–Julian oscillation (
MJO) is the largest element of the intraseasonal (30–90 day) variability in the tropical atmosphere. It was discovered in 1971 by Roland Madden and
Paul Julian of the American
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). It is a large-scale coupling between atmospheric circulation and tropical
deep convection. Unlike a standing pattern like the
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Madden–Julian oscillation is a traveling pattern that propagates eastward at approximately 4 to 8 m/s (14 to 29 km/h, 9 to 18 mph), through the atmosphere above the warm parts of the Indian and Pacific oceans. This overall circulation pattern manifests itself most clearly as anomalous
rainfall.